Bayes Theorem is a way to weight evidence by the strength of the evidence. Say you have a coin and you think it’s not a perfect 50/50 chance when you flip it. If you test it comes up heads twice, do you assume it has a 100% chance to land heads? No, but your data is saying it’s 100% heads. So you use Bayes Theorem to adjust your prior assumption by the observed data
Assume any random coin is 50/50 and adjusting your expectation as you collect more data from additional coin flips. The more data you collect the more confident you can be that your data represents a true deviation from an average coin.
It’s very useful for making statistical predictions because it makes a distinction between an Observed Probability and the true underlying probability of something happening by factoring in the likelihood that the observed data could have just occurred randomly.
You can never go wrong with a classic bomber jacket, especially when it’s high quality and made of recycled materials. This versatile bomber jacket will complement most outfits and styles, and keep you warm during the chillier days.
• 100% recycled polyester
• Fabric weight: 5.5 oz/yd² (156 g/m²)
• Relaxed fit
• Unisex sizing
• Utility pocket on the sleeve
• Rib-knit banding at collar, cuffs, and hem
• Premium YKK zipper
• Blank product sourced from China
This product is made especially for you as soon as you place an order, which is why it takes us a bit longer to deliver it to you. Making products on demand instead of in bulk helps reduce overproduction, so thank you for making thoughtful purchasing decisions!
Assume any random coin is 50/50 and adjusting your expectation as you collect more data from additional coin flips. The more data you collect the more confident you can be that your data represents a true deviation from an average coin.
It’s very useful for making statistical predictions because it makes a distinction between an Observed Probability and the true underlying probability of something happening by factoring in the likelihood that the observed data could have just occurred randomly.
You can never go wrong with a classic bomber jacket, especially when it’s high quality and made of recycled materials. This versatile bomber jacket will complement most outfits and styles, and keep you warm during the chillier days.
• 100% recycled polyester
• Fabric weight: 5.5 oz/yd² (156 g/m²)
• Relaxed fit
• Unisex sizing
• Utility pocket on the sleeve
• Rib-knit banding at collar, cuffs, and hem
• Premium YKK zipper
• Blank product sourced from China
This product is made especially for you as soon as you place an order, which is why it takes us a bit longer to deliver it to you. Making products on demand instead of in bulk helps reduce overproduction, so thank you for making thoughtful purchasing decisions!
Size guide
| A | B | C | |
| XS (inches) | 27 | 19 ½ | 25 |
| S (inches) | 27 ½ | 21 | 25 ¼ |
| M (inches) | 28 | 23 | 25 ½ |
| L (inches) | 28 ½ | 25 | 25 ¾ |
| XL (inches) | 29 | 27 | 26 |
| 2XL (inches) | 29 ½ | 28 ½ | 26 ¼ |
| 3XL (inches) | 30 | 30 | 26 ½ |
| A | B | C | |
| XS (cm) | 68.6 | 49.5 | 63.5 |
| S (cm) | 69.9 | 53.3 | 64.1 |
| M (cm) | 71.1 | 58.4 | 64.8 |
| L (cm) | 72.4 | 63.5 | 65.4 |
| XL (cm) | 73.7 | 68.6 | 66 |
| 2XL (cm) | 75 | 72.4 | 66.7 |
| 3XL (cm) | 76.2 | 76.2 | 67.3 |